Air Force
Men - Women
2011 - 2012 - 2013
Switch to All-time Team Page
RankNameGradeRating
277  Isaiah Bragg JR 32:24
303  Drenckhahn Jeremy SR 32:28
309  Matt Bell SR 32:29
342  Andrew Quallio SR 32:34
445  Riley Coates SO 32:47
514  Elliot Myers SO 32:58
523  Lance Wolfsmith JR 32:58
595  Gavin Owens JR 33:06
702  Charles Perkins JR 33:17
1,008  Carl Eifert JR 33:47
1,154  Ted Artz SR 34:00
1,433  Kevin Mihalik FR 34:23
1,510  Carson Fugal JR 34:30
1,582  Patrick Corona FR 34:35
1,642  Jake Hawkins JR 34:41
1,753  Daniel Caddigan FR 34:52
2,294  Casey Peloquin FR 35:41
2,393  Evan Fortney FR 35:54
2,430  Daniel Shellhouse FR 36:00
2,662  Sean Bapty FR 36:37
2,809  Andrew Hood FR 37:12
National Rank #56 of 311
Mountain Region Rank #9 of 18
Chance of Advancing to Nationals 1.3%
Most Likely Finish 5th at Regional


National Champion 0.0%
Top 5 at Nationals 0.0%
Top 10 at Nationals 0.0%
Top 20 at Nationals 0.0%


Regional Champion 0.0%
Top 5 in Regional 36.9%
Top 10 in Regional 96.6%
Top 20 in Regional 100.0%


Race Performance Ratings


Times listed are adjusted ratings based on performance compared to other runners in race.


RaceDateTeam Rating Isaiah Bragg Drenckhahn Jeremy Matt Bell Andrew Quallio Riley Coates Elliot Myers Lance Wolfsmith Gavin Owens Charles Perkins Carl Eifert Ted Artz
Rim Rock Farm Collegiate Classic 09/29 902 32:26 32:45 32:39 32:30 33:11 32:55 33:09 33:15 32:59
Rocky Mountain Shootout 09/29 1217 33:47 33:59
Pre-Nationals Meet (Black) 10/13 32:49
Pre-Nationals Meet (Red) 10/13 849 32:13 32:25 32:42 32:25 33:09 32:59
Mountain West Championships 10/26 776 32:17 32:22 32:18 32:30 32:27 32:23 32:51 32:56 33:32
Mountain Region Championships 11/09 890 32:54 32:23 32:16 33:08 32:43 33:31 32:55





NCAA Tournament Simulation


Based on results of 5,000 simulations of the NCAA Tournament. Numbers in tables represent percentage of times each outcome occured during simulation.



Team Results

Advances to RoundAve FinishAve Score Finishing Place
1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 17 18 19 20 21 22 23 24 25 26 27 28 29 30 31
NCAA Championship 1.3% 27.4 648 0.0 0.0 0.1 0.1 0.1 0.1 0.1 0.1 0.0 0.1 0.2 0.4
Region Championship 100% 6.5 211 0.1 1.6 35.3 24.2 15.6 9.6 6.2 4.1 2.2 1.0 0.1 0.0



Individual Results

NCAA ChampionshipAdvances to RoundAve Finish Finishing Place
1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 17 18 19 20 21 22 23 24 25
Isaiah Bragg 1.5% 138.0
Drenckhahn Jeremy 1.4% 145.0
Matt Bell 1.4% 146.0
Andrew Quallio 1.4% 160.5
Riley Coates 1.3% 196.5
Elliot Myers 1.3% 211.3
Lance Wolfsmith 1.3% 222.3


RegionalAve Finish Finishing Place
1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 17 18 19 20 21 22 23 24 25
Isaiah Bragg 36.7 0.0 0.1 0.1 0.1 0.2 0.4 0.6 0.6 0.7 1.1 1.2 1.5 2.6
Drenckhahn Jeremy 40.1 0.0 0.0 0.1 0.0 0.2 0.2 0.3 0.5 0.5 0.8 1.1 1.2
Matt Bell 39.5 0.0 0.1 0.1 0.1 0.1 0.3 0.3 0.5 0.7 0.7 1.2
Andrew Quallio 42.1 0.0 0.1 0.1 0.0 0.1 0.3 0.3 0.4 0.5
Riley Coates 50.9 0.0 0.0 0.0
Elliot Myers 56.6
Lance Wolfsmith 57.5




NCAA Championship Selection Detail

Total
Region Finish Chance of Finishing Chance of Advancing Auto At Large Selection No Adv Auto At Large Region Finish
1 2 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13
1 1
2 2
3 0.1% 100.0% 0.0 0.0 0.1 3
4 1.6% 79.0% 0.1 0.2 0.3 0.2 0.2 0.1 0.1 0.0 0.3 1.3 4
5 35.3% 35.3 5
6 24.2% 24.2 6
7 15.6% 15.6 7
8 9.6% 9.6 8
9 6.2% 6.2 9
10 4.1% 4.1 10
11 2.2% 2.2 11
12 1.0% 1.0 12
13 0.1% 0.1 13
14 0.0% 0.0 14
15 15
16 16
17 17
18 18
Total 100% 1.3% 0.1 0.2 0.4 0.2 0.2 0.1 0.1 0.0 98.7 0.0 1.3




Points



At large teams are selected based on the number of wins (points) against teams already in the championships. As a result, advancement is predicated on accumulating enough points before the last at-large selection. Accordingly, the points below are the total number of wins against automatic qualifiers or teams selected in the at-large process before the last selection. Minimum, maximum, and average points are number seen in 5,000 simulations of the NCAA Tournament.



Received By BeatingChance ReceivedAverage If >0Average
Boise State 0.0% 1.0 0.0
Lehigh 0.0% 1.0 0.0
Total 0.0
Minimum 0.0
Maximum 1.0